A daily nowcast of U.S. real GDP growth: an independent re-implementation of the Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model, re-estimated every day from public data and compared with the published GDPNow estimate.
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Evolution of the estimate
This replicationPublished GDPNowBefore BEA published the preceding quarter (next-quarter run)
Percent, seasonally adjusted annual rate. One point per daily run; GDPNow points are its published updates.
Table
Contributions to the estimate
Percentage points of GDP growth
Each bar is one run, split by category (the short mark is the total). Net exports are exports less imports; a negative bar means a drag on growth.